WINNING THE NEXT WAR: INNOVATION AND THE MODERN MILITARY
Book ID/图书代码： 03360016B87247
English Summary/英文概要： How and when do military innovations take place? Do they proceed differently during times of peace and times of war? In Winning the Next War, Stephen Peter Rosen argues that armies and navies are not forever doomed to "fight the last war." Rather, they are able to respond to shifts in the international strategic situation. He also discusses the changing relationship between the civilian innovator and the military bureaucrat.
In peacetime, Rosen finds, innovation has been the product of analysis and the politics of military promotion, in a process that has slowly but successfully built military capabilities critical to American military success. In wartime, by contrast, innovation has been constrained by the fog of war and the urgency of combat needs. Rosen draws his principal evidence from U.S. military policy between 1905 and 1960, though he also discusses the British army’s experience with the battle tank during World War I.
Chinese Summary/中文概要： 如何以及什么时候进行军事创新？在和平与战争时期，它们是否有不同的处理方式？在《赢得下一场战争》中，史蒂芬•皮特•罗森认为，陆军和海军都不是注定永远要“打最后一场战争”。相反，他们能够应对国际战略形势的变化。他还讨论了不断变化的民间改革者和军事官僚之间的关系。
在和平时期，罗森发现，创新一直是分析的产物和军事宣传的政策，这个过程缓慢但成功建立了对美国军事成功非常关键的军事能力。在战时，相比之下，创新被战争迷雾和战斗需求的迫切性锁限制。罗森借鉴了他从1905-1060年间美国军事政策中得来的主要证据，但他还讨论了英国军队在第一次世界大战期间使用战斗坦克的经历。(LNL)
Awards/获奖情况：获得了1992年埃德加•S•弗尼斯图书奖（梅尔尚国际安全研究中心）
新闻评论
“在战争中是什么成就了创新？这项谨慎研究的答案主要是基于美国在二十世纪的军事经验，完全违背直觉：创新似乎在和平时期更容易，因为战争的迷雾遮盖了所有；它在预算紧缩时期不比鼎盛时期困难；它既不与更聪明的潜在敌人有很大的联系，也不很受平明领导和思想家的影响。这些答案现在几乎不能听从，因为美国现在不再能建立一切，然后会发现到底是什么在起作用。”——外交
“对国家安全感兴趣的专业人士会发现很难忽视这本书…罗森回忆说，二十世纪的重大创新改变了战争方式。他的基本观点是，要赢得未来的战争，理解创新的过程远远比专注于如武器，组织或战术中的任何特定变化要重要得多…罗森用历史学家的眼光来研究事实，用政治学家的投入来得出结论。”——军事评论
Winner, 1992 Edgar S. Furniss Book Award (Mershon Center for International Security Studies)
PRESS REVIEWS
"What makes for innovations in war-making? The answers of this careful study, based primarily on American military experiences in the twentieth century, run refreshingly against intuition: innovation seems easier in peacetime than war, for the fog of the latter covers all; it is no harder during periods of budgetary austerity than in flusher times; it is neither much connected to better intelligence about would-be foes nor much influenced by civilian leaders or thinkers. Those answers bear heeding now that the United States can no longer afford to build everything and then see what works."——Foreign Affairs
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"Professionals interested in national security will find it hard to ignore this book.... Rosen recounts how major innovations in the twentieth century changed the way wars were fought. His underlying message is that understanding the process of innovation holds more importance to winning future wars than focusing on any particular change in weapons, organizations, or tactics.... Rosen crafts his book with a historian’s eye for the facts and a political scientist’s willingness to draw conclusions."——Military Review
About the Author/作者介绍： 史蒂芬•皮特•罗森是哈佛学院教授，以及哈佛大学的国家安全和军事事务的贝顿•迈克尔•卡内布教授。他是《社会和军事力量：印度和它的军队》的作者，也来自科奈尔安全事务研究。
Stephen Peter Rosen is Harvard College Professor and Beton Michael Kaneb Professor of National Security and Military Affairs at Harvard University. He is the author of Societies and Military Power: India and Its Armies, also from Cornell.
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