GLOBAL WARRING: HOW ENVIRONMENTAL, ECONOMIC, AND POLITICAL CRISES WILL REDRAW THE WORLD MAP
Book ID/图书代码: 11514010B35161
English Summary/英文概要: In a perfect storm, the environment, the global economic system and geopolitics are all undergoing rapid, uncontrolled change. In the same way that the climate is in a state of flux, exhibiting erratic behavior before settling into a new norm, in the wake of the global economic crisis, many of the assumptions about the Western economic system have been destroyed, which leads to some troubling questions:
1. How vulnerable is the United States to more devastating hurricanes like Katrina?
2. What will the opening of the Arctic mean for Russian access into North American waters?
3. Will China’s lack of clean, fresh water undermine its global ambitions?
4.Will India’s increasingly erratic monsoon affect its economic growth?
Global Warring takes a hard look at these questions. Journalist and analyst Cleo Paskal identifies problem areas that are most likely to start wars, destroy economies and create failed states. Examining the most likely environmental change scenarios, she illuminates the ways in which they could radically alter human existence. A fascinating tour through our uncertain future, Global Warring also offers a controversial new way forward for the global economy and the worldwide environmental crisis.
Chinese Summary/中文概要: 全球政經 美國能源部顧問、得獎記者與BBC節目主持人執筆,勾勒未來最可能引發全球戰爭、經濟與國家崩壞的問題源頭 《全球交戰》─政治、經濟與環境危機將導致全球板塊如何重新洗牌?
1. 另ㄧ個比Katrina更具毀滅性的風災如果發生,美國是否有能力應付並做好準備?
2. 北極圈的開放─對俄羅斯來說,是否代表取得進入北美水域的門票?
3. 中國國內乾淨飲用水不足的危機,是否將對其全球影響力造成阻礙?
4. 反覆無常的季風變化是否將對印度的經濟成長造成影響?
得獎記者與美國能源部分析顧問Cleo Paskal找出未來最可能引發全球戰爭、經濟與國家崩壞的問題源頭。
面對人類社會未來極可能出現的環境變化,Paskal勾勒出這些環境變化將如何「根本上改變」人類的生存現況。
如面對Katrina颶風等世紀天災,Paskal提出一套Three Rs方法,使社會在面臨這類重大危機時,必須付出的經濟、政治與安全成本能夠在這三階段中有效減緩。本書並對全球經濟與環境危機提出具話題性的嶄新觀點。
內容摘自Page 241-243 chart
3 種準備應對方法: ’Reinforce, Rescue, and Recovery’
4 種角色:Governments, the Private Sector, Society (NGO’s, faith-based groups, community organizations, neighbourhoods, etc) and the Media.
= The result is 12 areas that can be enhanced to create better defenses against disaster—or, looked at another way, 12 areas of vulnerability.(KC)
Awards/获奖情况:Review
The strength of this book lies in Paskal’s capacity to relate a broad set of disparate and dynamic physical and social scientific findings into a coherent projection about the future. She does a surprisingly good job of herding cats. This well-crafted projection calls for an immediate set of policy responses which make sense. Because of the urgency of the writing and the author’s sense of humor, this book is a page-turner. I recommend it to academics and non-academics interested in the relationship between international law and the use of force.---Noah Weisbord, Visiting Assistant Professor of Law, Duke Law School
"Cleo Paskal is original and compelling; a pioneering scholar of the new terrain where climate change confronts national security, she charts the dramatic implications not just for the game of nations but for their geographic borders, their resources and their fundamental interests." ---Martin Walker-- 全球商業政策理事會(Global Business Policy Council)資深董事、合眾國際社(United Press International) 總編 senior director of the Global Business Policy Council and Editor-in-Chief Emeritus of United Press International.
"Cleo Paskal’s mastery over geopolitics has been fused to a remarkable understanding of just how the coming geophysical changes may affect our planet. This is the fist comprehensive view of the real consequences of environmental change." ---M D Nalapat, 印度曼尼堡高等學院暨聯合國科教文組織和平講座教授. UNESCO Peace Chair and director of the Department of Geopolitics, Manipal University, India
“Cleo Paskal’s vividly illustrates the complex interconnections between climate change, environmental conditions, and energy security. Rather than just take a global view, she also demonstrates how environmental changes will impact the lives of people across the globe.”---Chad Briggs—美國能源部《能源與環境局》安全資深顧問, Senior Advisor, Energy and Environmental Security Directorate. US Department of Energy.
"[Paskal] writes with the power of a journalist underpinned by the research habits of an academic. . . . She has for years contributed learned articles on how rising sea levels may change international borders with major implications. Her latest book arrives with the clarity and importance of the crack of doom." ---Tom Spencer --歐洲公共事務中心執行總監 executive director, European Centre for Public Affairs
“In a field beset by hyperbole on the one hand, and complacency on the other, Cleo Paskal’s work provides a refreshing, well-grounded and highly readable take on geopolitics and environmental change in the twenty-first century.”---Jeffrey Mazo, Assistant Editor of the journal Survival (see url below) at the International Institute for Strategic Studies in London, From Booklist
About the Author/作者介绍: Cleo Paskal英國皇家國際事務研究所(Chatham House)研究員並擔任美國能源部《全球能源與環境策略生態系統》顧問。Paskal本身也是得獎記者,在多項知名雜誌刊物,包含經濟學人、時代雜誌與芝加哥先鋒報皆曾發表過文章。她並曾主持過BBC廣播節目,參與撰寫的紀錄片並曾獲得艾美獎。
Format:电子手稿
Rights Status/版权销售情况:Simplified Chinese/简体中文:AVAILABLE(到期可授)
Complex/Traditional Chinese/繁体中文:AVAILABLE
Sales in other countries/其他国家销售情况:
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