THE IMPROBABILITY PRINCIPLE: WHY COINCIDENCES, MIRACLES, AND RARE EVENTS HAPPEN EVERY DAY
Book ID/图书代码： 08136013B60768
English Summary/英文概要： It is not just about why incredibly unlikely things happen. It is also about why they happen so often - about why, in the words of the British mathematician J. E. Littlewood, we should expect to experience miracles ’at the rate of a about one a month’.At first glance, this sounds like a contradiction or paradox. If things are incredibly unlikely, how can they happen often, and why should we expect them to happen? Now, in a highly original work of synthesis aimed squarely at the general public, the eminent statistician David Hand answers these questions by weaving together various strands of probability into a unified explanation that he calls the improbability principle.
It is a book that will appeal not only to those who love stories about startling coincidences and extraordinarily rare events, but also to those who are interested in how a single bold idea links areas as diverse as gambling, the weather, airline disasters, creative writing and the origin of life and even the universe. It’s a book that will change your perspective on how the world works – and tell you what the Bible code and Shakespeare have in common, how to win the lottery, why Apple’s song shuffling was made less random to seem more random, and why lightning does strike twice.
Chinese Summary/中文概要： 我們是否曾想過一件事若是難以置信，那為什麼它還是會發生呢？而且還經常發生呢？例如被雷擊中、或是飛機失事等，既然它發生的機率這麼低，為什麼我們還是會想有可能發生在我們身上？本書的作者知名統計學家David Hand將一一本書中回答我們心中這些「可能性」的疑問，並給予一個統稱的解釋為「不大可能的原則」。
其次，作者要再次強調本書不僅是針對喜歡研究「不可思議的巧合事件」的人，更「有可能」也將會改變我們面對日常生活及世界運行的看法，例如要如何贏得樂透！
Awards/获奖情况：版權銷售訊息: 美國版權經過11家競價後賣給US FSG/Scientific American；英國版權賣給Transworld；荷蘭版權經過三家競價後賣給Ambo Anthos；波蘭版權給了Foksal Publishing Group；日本及德國競價中...
Rights have to date sold to FSG/Scientific American in the US, Transworld in the UK, CH Beck in Germany, Ambo Anthos in the Netherlands, Companhia das Letras in Brazil and Foksal in Poland, as well as to Locus Publishing in Taiwan, of course.2013-5-16
‘In my experience, it is very rare to find a book that is both erudite and entertaining. Yet The Improbability Principle is such a book. Surely this cannot be due to chance alone!’
About the Author/作者介绍： David Hand，倫敦帝國理工學院榮譽數學教授及資深研究員，前英國皇家統計協會的會長。出版過七本書，其中兩本是屬於大眾科普：The Information Generation: How Data Rule Our World (Oneworld, 2006) 及Statistics: A Very Short Introduction (Oxford University Press, 2008).
David Hand is an emeritus professor of mathematics and senior research investigator at Imperial College, London, a former president of the Royal Statistical Society and chief scientific advisor to Winton Capital, Europe’s most successful algorithmic trading hedge fund. He is the author of seven books including two popular titles (The Information Generation: How Data Rule Our World (Oneworld, 2006) and Statistics: A Very Short Introduction (Oxford University Press, 2008)). He is also the coauthor or editor/coeditor of several other academic titles, has published some 300 scientific papers and written popular articles for publications ranging from Mathematics Today to the Guardian.
Format:HARDCOVER
Rights Status/版权销售情况：Simplified Chinese/简体中文：SOLD
Complex/Traditional Chinese/繁体中文：AVAILABLE(到期可授)
Sales in other countries/其他国家销售情况：UK (Transworld), US (Farrar, Straus & Giroux), Chinese, simplified characters (Publishing House of Electronics Industry-Beijing Media Electronic Information), Chinese, traditional characters (Locus Publishing Co), Dutch (Ambo Anthos), German (C H Beck), Greek (ROPI), Italian (Rizzoli), Polish (Foksal Publishing Group), Portuguese in Brazil (Editora Schwarcz), Russian (AST)
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